Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.116676 0.125127 0.133879 0.143625 0.154182 0.165280 0.177838
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.103696 0.116250 0.129913 0.145920 0.164195 0.184455 0.208677
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.093441 0.107887 0.124140 0.143843 0.167160 0.193973 0.227279
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.086048 0.101738 0.119872 0.142475 0.170024 0.202675 0.244549
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.078924 0.095188 0.114414 0.138947 0.169605 0.206895 0.256048
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.073891 0.090715 0.111008 0.137459 0.171271 0.213377 0.270294
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.070271 0.087688 0.109090 0.137537 0.174675 0.221949 0.287382
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066113 0.083702 0.105675 0.135397 0.174940 0.226285 0.298892
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.062919 0.080749 0.103373 0.134487 0.176630 0.232397 0.312894
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061985 0.080656 0.104726 0.138391 0.184838 0.247508 0.339913
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059315 0.078112 0.102679 0.137550 0.186440 0.253546 0.354367
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056716 0.075529 0.100437 0.136284 0.187311 0.258494 0.367367
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053440 0.071936 0.096729 0.132891 0.185130 0.259159 0.374374
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052276 0.071208 0.096934 0.135019 0.190941 0.271596 0.399598
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049876 0.068637 0.094433 0.133116 0.190728 0.275103 0.411320
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047856 0.066513 0.092462 0.131862 0.191364 0.279826 0.425065
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045370 0.063617 0.089258 0.128630 0.188834 0.279563 0.430810
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043600 0.061689 0.087374 0.127266 0.189052 0.283469 0.443358
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.042355 0.060475 0.086478 0.127338 0.191451 0.290829 0.461857
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.040617 0.058465 0.084322 0.125377 0.190553 0.292880 0.471567
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.039284 0.057011 0.082939 0.124542 0.191377 0.297685 0.486105
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039183 0.057404 0.084351 0.128121 0.199414 0.314551 0.522206
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.037974 0.056065 0.083061 0.127350 0.200311 0.319627 0.537943